I was reading about a bet method on a published system for a different game and it seems to be worth trying on roulette. Especially for you lucky punters that have access to non-zero roulette. Or even single zero with “la partage”.

The bet selection is your choice. This bet method is based on Oscar’s Grind. That is, we increase our bet amount after a win and we keep it the same after a loss.
We have to keep track of 3 numbers. Units Lost, current bet size and a running total to be able to know when we’ve reached our win target. Losses starts out as 0, bet size starts out as 1 and of course running total starts out at zero. Every time we lose we increase Losses by the amount lost and the bet amount remains unchanged. Every time we win we increase the bet amount by 1 unit and we decrease Losses by the amount won. Every time we lose 2 times in a row, we stop betting until we have a virtual win then we start betting for real at the unit amount of the last bet we made.

The most effective way of using the Martingale is to only bet on even-money outside bets – 1-18, 19-36, Red, Black, Even, and Odd. They have the maximum odds of winning (almost 50%), but the lowest payout of all – 1:1. This means you win the same amount of money you bet for the spin.

Which outcome has a higher probability after eight successive Blacks, Black again or Red? By Jacob Kanzen Probability, the Martingale system and the 'delayed' double-up betting strategy. At roulette each spin is a new spin and the outcome is never determined by prior spins. After eight successive blacks, a black is as likely to come up as a red. (Just don't bet the Tie!) The Pass Line in Craps carries a 1.41% house edge. You can drive this number down by betting more money to take maximum Odds. Craps requires some skill in the sense that you need to know when to place your Odds bet, and how much you're allowed to bet on the Odds. The most popular bets on the roulette table are Red and Black, this is especially the case in online casinos. Our list of roulette strategies is quite long so what we’re going to do here is list all of the different systems that are aimed towards Red and Black betting. It’s important to remember that Red and Black have exactly the same odds.

This is a means of trying to prevent large streaks of losses from wiping us out. It is off-set by the reality that we may skip wins and come back to play and catch 2 more losses. If we do this once that’s 4 losses in a row, and twice is 6 losses in a row. But all in all I think stopping after 2 losses and waiting for the losing streak to end is a safer idea.

The only reason we keep track of losses is that we have a chart that comes into play after we’ve won 2 times in a row. This tells us what to bet based on how many units we are down. Using this chart is entirely optional.

Units down Bet Amount
1-3 1
4-6 2
7-9 3
10 + 4

This chart accomplishes 2 things. First, it causes us to increase our bet size more rapidly if we just had a long stretch of losses and it lets us reduce our bet size if we’re betting larger units but have recovered most or all of our losses.

4 units is the largest bet we will be making and if we lose a 4 unit bet, we end that attack and re-set losses to 0 and bet size to 1. I also suggest that you re-set any time you reach a new high bank amount. That’s the basic skeleton of the bet method. It can be adjusted to suit your personal preferences. For example you can make a losing bet of 5 or 6 the stop-loss target.

The original version has us adding an extra unit to the losses number for every loss. This gives us some guaranteed profit if we get back to zero. I didn’t include this factor because it’s just as easy to keep track of our total and make decisions accordingly.

Some observations

This is a very controlled money management strategy. It keeps the bets from escalating too high by ending the game on a 4 unit lost bet. This is a very important part of the method. Every bet selection will have periodic losing streaks. We either need to be prepared to bet a long progression, risking large numbers of units to try and stop a loss or we need to be willing to take small losses more often to keep from having to use a long expensive progression.

The above paragraph is in red because it’s the reality of most gambling systems. It has to be come to grips with if you intend to stay sane playing this game. I’m not say that a long progression is dumb, I’m just saying that if you use it, you have to be aware of the pitfalls and be willing to take a really big hit every now and then. Also, it takes a lot of guts to place the larger bet amounts so, “Know thyself” before you try to play using a steep progression.

That’s the method in a nutshell. Use it if you like it,

GLC
_________________________

A minor tweak to this progression

Use any even chance bet selection method you like. Or for simplicity, just pick one of the even chances, such as Red and play Red only. Or if it makes you mad if you happen to pick the wrong color, play follow-the-last. That way you’ll catch all steaks of either color. What you won’t like is RBRBRBRBRBRBR. But, there’s no selection process that doesn’t have a killer sequence.

The bet progression is what I’m presenting here.
We will increase our bet size after 2 wins and we’ll stay the same after a loss. The 2 wins don’t have to be in a row and it doesn’t matter how many losses are between them.

This is a possible sequence:
-1-1-1+1-1-1+1-2-2+2+2-3-3-3+3-3+3+4+4-4 = -5

Here’s a winning sequence:
+1-1-1+1+2+2-3+3+3-4 = +3

4 units is the largest bet we make.
We play until we lose on a 4 unit bet.
We can win many 4 bets but when we lose a 4 unit bet we end the attack plus or minus.

I am tightening up my rules for playing this system.

I have changed the “Chart”. For all of you who have any respect for anything I write, I’m encouraging you to look at this more closely. I suggest this because it is a very solid bet method that gives enough wiggle room to win some units without ever risking too much at one time. I suggest a 40 unit buy-in and a 10 unit win target. As you play it you can adjust these to suit yourself. I will suggest a bet selection method but you can use any even chance method you like.

1. RBRBRBRB etc… Just alternate continuously. This will keep from having long losing stretches most of the time. The rule in the system of ending real betting after 2 losses in a row and then only resuming real betting after a win works well in conjunction with this bet method.

We have to keep track of 3 numbers.
Units Lost
Current bet size
Running total.

Losses start out as 0, bet size starts as 1.

Every time we lose we increase Losses by the amount lost and the bet amount remains unchanged.

Every time we win we increase the bet amount by 1 unit and we decrease Losses by the amount won.

Every time we lose 2 times in a row, we stop betting until we have a virtual win then we start betting again.

The only reason we keep track of losses is that we have a chart that comes into play after we’ve won 2 times in a row. This tells us what to bet based on how many units we are down.

Units down Bet Amount
1-2 1
3-4 2
5-6 3
7-8 4
9 or more 5*
Continue to bet based on the chart as long as you are winning or until you reach 0, 1.

As soon as you lose a bet from the chart, you go back to the normal betting rules.

This chart accomplishes 2 things. First, it causes us to increase our bet size more rapidly if we just had a long stretch of losses and it lets us reduce our bet size if we’re betting larger units but have recovered most or all of our losses.

*Note: This is the only time we will ever bet 5 units. It’s when we have won 2 times in a row and we go to the chart and we’re down 9 units or more, then and only then can we bet 5 units. Never more than 5 units. Any time we lose a 5 unit bet we end the session and take our loss.

4 units is the largest bet we will make other then the 5 unit bet when using the chart. If we lose a 4 unit bet, we also end that attack and re-set losses to 0 and bet size to 1. Re-set everything any time you reach a new profit. That will be when the running total = +1.

You can stop looking for a better even chance system. There are none. There may be others as good, but none better. You can be fooled by long progressions, but they are just smoke and mirrors. In the end, the closer you stay to a flat bet, the better off you’re going to be.

I’m thinking this is as good as it gets.

Especially for baccarat where you have to bet large units.
It can be dialed back to limit the size of our bets even more. We can say that under normal betting when we lose a 3 unit bet we have to reset. That would mean on the chart we’d have to drop the line for the 5 unit bet and say that any draw-down over 7 units results in a 4 unit bet. Any loss on the 4 unit bet causes a termination and overall reset.

When we’re betting from the chart, as long as we win we stay with the chart. If we lose at either 3 or 4 unit bets, this ends the attack, reset. If we win and the chart tell us to bet 2 units and we lose, then we go back to our progression line. I have been having very good results using the alternating bet selection process. The only thing that kills it is to be on the losing side of chops. In this case the stop after 2 losses until a win to resume betting helps stabilize the system.

I’m always trying to tweak it to be better. It actually does well if we go to the chart after every win instead of waiting for 2 wins in a row. Also using the chart after 2 wins but not necessarily in a row works also.

When you test a session, check and see if alternating R/B or B/P does as well, worse or better than the bet selection you used. Also, see if one of the options sending us to the chart more frequently helps any. Or, don’t mess with it at all. It works fine as is! I just need to leave well enough alone.

GLC
_______________________________________

Roulette-Bet comment: We don’t know about the STOP-RESTART idea of this system, but we DO LIKE the progression. Also you can minimize your win target to just two units instead of five.

Roulette Tips

You have a choice of many different types of bets you are allowed to make when you play roulette. One of the bets offered is a bet on the color red. As a roulette player it is important that you understand that the red bet is considered to be one of the best bets in roulette and this article will elaborate on why this is so.

What is the Red Bet?

When playing single zero roulette (European roulette) you will notice that the roulette wheel has 37 numbered slots. The numbers used in single zero roulette are 1 to 36 and the number zero.

In double zero roulette the roulette wheel has 38 numbered slots containing the numbers 1 to 36, a zero and a double zero.

On both types of roulette wheels the numbers 1 to 36 are divided into two color groups. Half the numbered slots are painted red and the other half is painted black. Zero and double zero are always pained in green.

Players are allowed to make bets on predicting whether the roulette ball will land on a number that is painted red or a number that is painted black.

Why the Red Bet is considered an Outside Bet?

The different bets in roulette offer different payouts and probability of winning. The bets are divided into two groups of bets; high risk bets and low risk bets. The high risk bets are called inside bets and the low risk bets are called outside bets.

Inside bets are made on a single number or a small group of numbers. The probability of generating a win is very low and to compensate for the low probability these bets offer very tempting payouts.

Outside bets are player-friendly bets as they offer a low level of risk with a reasonable payout.

The red bet belongs to the outside bets group since in a single bet on the color red the player covers almost half the numbers offered for betting in roulette.

The Probability

The easiest way to explain the probability of winning the red bet is to first imagine that the roulette wheel did not have a zero or a double zero on it, and only had the numbers 1 to 36. In this scenario exactly half the numbers on the roulette wheel would have been red numbers.

If you were to make a bet on the color red under these conditions you have a chance of 50% to win the bet since the probability to win will be calculated as 18/36 = 0.5.

Sadly this is not the case and in games of single zero roulette there is one more number to contend with and in double zero roulette games there are two additional numbers that lower the odds of winning the red bet.

Therefore when playing single zero roulette games with 37 numbered slots the probability of the red bet is calculated as 18/37 = 0.4864 which gives a chance of 48.64% to win the bet.

When comparing the odds to the payout, you can see that the odds are 1.01-to-1 and the payout offered is an even-money payout of 1-to-1. As you can see the casino has a very small advantage over the player.

In the case of double zero roulette, the game is played with 38 numbered slots so the probability of winning the red bet is calculated as 18/38 = 0.4736 which gives a 47.36% chance of winning.

The payout for the red bet in double zero roulette is identical to the payout offered in single zero roulette and stand on 1-to-1. However the true odds of the bet are 1.11-to-1 so in double zero roulette the casino has a slightly bigger edge over the player than in single zero roulette.

Therefore when you are faced with the choice between playing single zero roulette and double zero roulette, it is recommended to opt for single zero roulette. However that is not always possible as some casinos always offer one and not the other.

The “En Prison” Rule

Sometimes the casino offers a roulette game with an added rule. This rule is called “En Prison” and it literally means “in prison” in French. This rule is only valid when making even-money bets such as the red bet.

Under this rule any player making an even-money bet can leave their bet on the table for another spin in case the roulette ball falls on zero. You basically get two spins for the price of one. This rule also lowers the house edge.

In Conclusion

The red bet provides the player with a good chance of winning at roulette. Although it does not offer a big payout, considering the amount of risk involved the payout is reasonable.

A player that focuses on making outside bets such as the red bet, have a better chance of making their bankroll last longer and therefore will be able to play roulette for longer.

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